As increasing extreme weather threatens utility solar projects, the industry is working to generate better risk predictions and make smarter siting decisions. Dennis Weaver, staff meteorologist at VDE Americas, is a rising leader in solar weather risk analysis. Weaver maintains the VDE Hail Risk Atlas ArcGIS mapping product, which allows users to map hail risk for the continental United States. This tool, along with Weaver’s other efforts, is giving the solar industry insights into hail-prone regions of the United States—enabling better project development and ensuring projects remain insurable. Below is the full Solar Power World interview with Dennis Weaver (DW).
What are the most challenging and, alternatively, most rewarding parts of working in the solar and storage industry right now?
DW: As it relates to catastrophic risk from extreme weather, where the majority of my work resides, I’d say one of the more challenging aspects is that the biggest questions coming from the solar industry are constantly changing and usually don’t have clear answers. It may be a matter of getting the right data, or developing the right product, or, in some cases, just providing the right guidance. But it’s a complicated problem and so the answers are complicated. To put it another way, I spend most of my time in ground-breaking scientific space.
This is also easily the most exciting and rewarding part of the industry right now! As an example, when I got started in solar a little over two years ago, one of the major scientific obstacles was understanding how wind modifies the way hail falls within a thunderstorm. This interaction relates to both the angle at which hailstones fall and the energy they carry, ultimately influencing the potential of a storm to cause damage at a solar site. While we are constantly improving our scientific understanding of these phenomena, there has been a tremendous amount of progress on this particular topic. As a matter of fact, we can actually now incorporate the effect of wind in the financial modeling of severe hail events.
Another good example is the geographic scale at which we can support hail risk analysis. Even as recently as the beginning of 2025, our understanding of hail frequency/intensity outside the United States was minimal at best. As the global market for solar continues to grow and evolve, it’s essential to help protect solar assets across international borders. We’ve used the latest and greatest in environmental modeling, as well as international weather radar data, to create products that support this sort of analysis around the globe.
While on the surface this should be one of the most challenging parts of the industry (constantly being asked questions where the honest answer is “I don’t know”), it provides a great opportunity to be a part of impact-driven, novel work that pushes the industry forward. I’m very fortunate to work with a team that insists on taking that “I don’t know” and quickly turning it into, “We’ve put in the work, now here’s what we can tell you.” That’s so incredibly special, and a joy to be a part of.